Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 92.655413 102.633398 112.900478 124.231584 136.363151 148.939582 162.939759
2025-01-05 76.458282 91.061331 106.848711 125.087143 145.477198 167.474328 192.900909
2025-01-12 67.190468 84.169094 103.156490 125.768171 151.763649 180.520149 214.537600
2025-01-19 58.013005 76.206971 97.202195 122.902602 153.190509 187.434635 228.753289
2025-01-26 54.276318 74.097132 97.552028 126.890566 162.133431 202.645589 252.257040
2025-02-02 50.493625 71.498606 96.948648 129.424372 169.120141 215.435008 272.903696
2025-02-09 46.529524 68.292149 95.272214 130.363573 173.965766 225.548736 290.335789
2025-02-16 44.536973 67.410880 96.327100 134.542609 182.675284 240.267961 313.318854
2025-02-23 41.747738 65.242038 95.544908 136.248483 188.218242 251.108267 331.657355
2025-03-02 37.831960 61.259867 92.152023 134.384259 189.099086 256.109253 342.817955
2025-03-09 34.683561 58.105279 89.643245 133.474048 191.031416 262.300130 355.379636
2025-03-16 32.180637 55.682945 87.959653 133.508040 194.066667 269.803699 369.552452
2025-03-23 31.175626 55.423596 89.274023 137.645982 202.609510 284.511940 393.108497
2025-03-30 29.307739 53.762766 88.550694 138.975602 207.468235 294.600055 410.996652
2025-04-06 27.400309 51.896113 87.410543 139.625298 211.347792 303.396447 427.259599
2025-04-13 24.573806 48.390679 83.721242 136.551383 210.082197 305.428151 434.816092
2025-04-20 24.034271 48.485999 85.273249 140.849815 218.819841 320.546357 459.287805
2025-04-27 23.111406 47.887967 85.745627 143.582501 225.422627 332.906978 480.290811
2025-05-04 21.811793 46.572001 85.062368 144.594694 229.627392 342.110016 497.245871
2025-05-11 21.458860 46.833131 86.773664 149.097476 238.714134 357.865805 522.874648
2025-05-18 20.492115 45.966320 86.691172 150.934660 244.070075 368.670590 542.085601
2025-05-25 18.722473 43.558215 84.083518 148.926907 243.931749 372.050907 551.501396
2025-06-01 17.307133 41.680402 82.220806 147.946412 245.182250 377.265701 563.338438